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Markov state models constructed from molecular dynamics simulations have recently shown success at modeling protein folding kinetics. Here we introduce two methods, flux PCCA+ (FPCCA+) and sliding constraint rate estimation (SCRE), that allow accurate rate models from protein folding simulations. We apply these techniques to fourteen massive simulation dataset…

Motivated by the observed time scales in protein systems said to fold “downhill,” we have studied the finite, linear master equation, with uniform rates forward and backward as a model of the downhill process. By solving for the system eigenvalues, we prove the claim that in situations where there is no free energy barrier a transition between single- and mult…

Quantitatively accurate all-atom molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of protein folding have long been considered a holy grail of computational biology. Due to the large system sizes and long timescales involved, such a pursuit was for many years computationally intractable. Further, sufficiently accurate forcefields needed to be developed in order to realisti…

The structure and properties of water at biological interfaces differ drastically from bulk due to effects including confinement and the presence of complicated charge distributions. This non-bulk-like behavior generally arises from water frustration, wherein all favorable interactions among water molecules cannot be simultaneously satisfied. While the frustra…

The extent to which glass-like kinetics govern dynamics in protein folding has been heavily debated. Here, we address the subject with an application of space-time perturbation theory to the dynamics of protein folding Markov state models. Borrowing techniques from the s-ensemble method, we argue that distinct active and inactive phases exist for protein foldi…

Markov State Models (MSMs) provide an automated framework to investigate the dynamical properties of high-dimensional molecular simulations. These models can provide a human-comprehensible picture of the underlying process, and have been successfully used to study protein folding, protein aggregation, protein ligand binding, and other biophysical systems. The …

The protein folding problem has long represented a “holy grail” in statistical physics due to its physical complexity and its relevance to many human diseases. While past theoretical work has yielded apt descriptions of protein folding landscapes, recent large-scale simulations have provided insights into protein folding that were impractical to obtain from ea…

Many protein systems fold in a two-state manner. Random models, however, rarely display two-state kinetics and thus such behavior should not be accepted as a default. While theories for the prevalence of two-state kinetics have been presented, none sufficiently explain the breadth of experimental observations. A model, making minimal assumptions, is introduced…

This Perspective presents a personal overview of the current status of the theory of chemical kinetics and mechanisms for complex processes. We attempt to assess the status of the field for reactions in the gas phase, at gas-solid interfaces, in liquid solutions, in enzymes, and for protein folding. Some unifying concepts such as potential energy surfaces, fre…

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